Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 133 TSM stock forecasts beginning July 2, 2025. Every prediction was published before its outcome was known, and all assessment windows had ended by October 19, 2026. Every call used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). All 133 forecasts were closed and scored, so the results covered the full published track record rather than a selection of open or favorable calls.

Of the 133 predictions, 114 reached their targets. No call was scored as a miss, while 19 received partial credit. The average success score was 89.1%. Because every forecast used the same short term horizon, there was no medium or long term result to compare. The average peak gain across the calls was 23.2%, although individual results varied substantially between the strongest and weakest scored calls.

The best call was published on March 31, 2026. It predicted 22% growth, reached that target in 24 days, and recorded a peak gain of 47.3%. It received a 100% success score. The worst call was published on July 2, 2026. It predicted 10% growth, but the stock reached a peak gain of only 2.1% during the assessment window and did not reach the target. It received a 50% success score. Overall, most of Lyra's TSM calls reached their targets, none missed outright, and the remaining 19 earned partial credit.