Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 114 TSM stock forecasts, with the first one dated July 2, 2025. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, and each one was later closed and scored. All calls used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. The last closed window ended on June 9, 2026.

Overall, 98 forecasts reached their target. No misses were recorded, and 16 calls were partial. The average success score was 89.3%. The short-term calls also had an average score of 89.3%, since every forecast used that same horizon. The average peak gain was 24.6%. Most of them hit.

The best call was published on December 18, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, and TSM later rose 38.2%. The target was reached in 25 days, and the call received a 100% score. The weakest call was published on October 3, 2025. It predicted 24% growth, while the stock rose 6.6%, and it received a 50% score. This track record was strong overall, with many targets reached and no misses.