Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 123 TSM stock forecasts beginning July 2, 2025. Every prediction was issued before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. All 123 used the short term horizon of 0 to 3 months. The final evaluation window ended September 9, 2026, so the full published history covered calls made across more than one calendar year.

Of the 123 forecasts, 110 reached their targets. None of them missed, while 13 received partial credit. The average success score was 91.3%. Because every call used the same short term horizon, there was no medium term or long term result to compare. The short term calls also had an average score of 91.3%. Most reached the full target, but the partial results showed that some predictions still fell well short of the growth Lyra had forecast.

The best call was published March 31, 2026. It predicted 22% growth, and the stock rose as much as 47.3%. The target was reached in 24 days, and the call received a score of 100%. The worst call was published October 3, 2025. It predicted 24% growth, but the stock rose as much as 6.6% and did not reach the target. That call received a score of 50%. Overall, the track record was strong, with 110 targets reached and no outright misses, though 13 calls earned only partial credit.