Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from March 25, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$346.86 Published $394.69 Target $436.39 Window close $476.79 Peak
$338.75 – $348.72Entry zone — fair-value band
$346.86Published — price the day we called it
$394.69Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$476.79Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$436.39Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 30 days.

Peak price
$476.79
peak on June 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+37.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$436.39
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
30
Window
March 25, 2026 – June 23, 2026

The thesis — published March 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$394.69
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$338.75 – $348.72
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$346.86
published March 25, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TSMC looks attractive short-term because it runs its business well, has a solid balance sheet, and the share price is settling near a logical buying area instead of running away higher. Improvements in Taiwan logistics and steady investment in AI hardware point to ongoing chip demand across the supply chain.

Primary drivers

  • Top chip-maker for AI and high-performance designs
  • Reliable results and healthy profit margins
  • Taiwan logistics upgrades help keep supply steady
  • Price holding near trend keeps entries disciplined

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSM signals