Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from May 25, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$403.78 Published $467.52 Target $418.95 Window close $479.00 Peak
$392.55 – $408.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$403.78Published — price the day we called it
$467.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$479.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$418.95Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

Peak price
$479.00
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$418.95
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
28
Window
May 25, 2026 – August 23, 2026

The thesis — published May 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$467.52
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$392.55 – $408.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$403.78
published May 25, 2026
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TSM is a clear way to benefit from the demand for advanced chips used in AI, fast computing and phones. The company has shown steady profit performance and a strong cash position, which helps during chip industry swings. Short-term competition or political news from Huawei adds risk, but current pullbacks look like manageable buying opportunities.

Primary drivers

  • Leads in the most advanced chips for AI and fast computing
  • Reliable profit performance over recent quarters
  • Large cash reserves that smooth industry swings
  • Huawei developments raise risk but underline TSM's advantage

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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