Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from March 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$346.03 Published $407.57 Target $425.83 Window close $449.33 Peak
$336.76 – $347.72Entry zone — fair-value band
$346.03Published — price the day we called it
$407.57Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$449.33Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$425.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 37 days.

Peak price
$449.33
peak on June 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+29.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$425.83
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
37
Window
March 18, 2026 – June 16, 2026

The thesis — published March 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$407.57
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$336.76 – $347.72
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$346.03
published March 18, 2026
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TSM looks like a strong short-term semiconductor pick because demand for AI chips remains steady and the company is less risky than many peers. Big spending plans from major cloud customers help its business, and TSM is meeting expectations. The stock has dipped a bit, so this feels like a careful buying chance rather than a panic sell.

Primary drivers

  • Big cloud AI spending increases chip orders
  • Consistent quarterly wins show reliable execution
  • Small pullback keeps the longer uptrend intact
  • Strong cash reserves protect against downturns

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSM signals