Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from March 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$338.44 Published $398.62 Target $467.67 Window close $476.79 Peak
$330.78 – $340.74Entry zone — fair-value band
$338.44Published — price the day we called it
$398.62Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$476.79Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$467.67Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 31 days.

Peak price
$476.79
peak on June 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+40.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$467.67
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
31
Window
March 24, 2026 – June 22, 2026

The thesis — published March 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$398.62
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$330.78 – $340.74
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$338.44
published March 24, 2026
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Taiwan Semiconductor looks like a relatively safer way to play fast-growing AI chip demand in the next few months. The business is strong and recent reports point to tight chip capacity, which supports pricing. Shares have cooled from prior strength and are near support, so the mix of quality, visible demand drivers, and limited pullback risk feels favorable in a volatile market.

Primary drivers

  • Growing AI chip demand helps pricing and keeps factories busy
  • Recent reports point to limited supply for advanced chip production
  • Price action has eased and is consolidating instead of running away
  • Reliable execution history helps the company weather volatility

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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