Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from May 12, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$399.27 Published $466.28 Target $418.47 Window close $479.00 Peak
$386.58 – $403.51Entry zone — fair-value band
$399.27Published — price the day we called it
$466.28Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$479.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$418.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 41 days.

Peak price
$479.00
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$418.47
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
41
Window
May 12, 2026 – August 10, 2026

The thesis — published May 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$466.28
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$386.58 – $403.51
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$399.27
published May 12, 2026
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TSM is well positioned to supply the chips needed for AI work. It combines top manufacturing know-how, improving sales and healthy profits with more cash than debt. A recent tie-up with Applied Materials strengthens its role in making AI chip processes work better. The stock looks stable near $400; main worry is geopolitical tension.

Primary drivers

  • Leader in chip manufacturing for growing AI demand
  • Deal with Applied Materials helps production steps fit together
  • High profit margins and a strong cash position
  • Price action looks reasonable without extreme stretch

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSM signals