Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from April 8, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$367.52 Published $429.21 Target $432.57 Window close $479.00 Peak
$348.72 – $360.67Entry zone — fair-value band
$367.52Published — price the day we called it
$429.21Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$479.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$432.57Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 54 days.

Peak price
$479.00
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+30.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$432.57
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
54
Window
April 8, 2026 – July 7, 2026

The thesis — published April 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$429.21
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$348.72 – $360.67
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$367.52
published April 8, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TSMC is a market leader in making chips used for AI and other big tech uses. Its strong profits and cash give it stability, and upcoming earnings could confirm better factory use and pricing. Headlines about AI help demand, but valuation and geopolitics can quickly shift sentiment, so the idea is best on price pullbacks.

Primary drivers

  • Market-leading chip manufacturing for AI and high-end compute
  • Healthy profits and cash to handle short-term swings
  • Earnings may show higher factory use and better pricing
  • News keeps AI demand visible but also highlights geopolitical risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSM signals