Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from April 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$386.26 Published $451.10 Target $421.21 Window close $479.00 Peak
$374.62 – $382.59Entry zone — fair-value band
$386.26Published — price the day we called it
$451.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$479.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$421.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 56 days.

Peak price
$479.00
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+24%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$421.21
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
56
Window
April 23, 2026 – July 22, 2026

The thesis — published April 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$451.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$374.62 – $382.59
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$386.26
published April 23, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Taiwan Semiconductor is kept because its business is among the strongest and recent updates made that case clearer. A major bank raised its price target after solid results, and talk of strong AI-related demand and pricing power supports continued earnings strength. The main worry is timing: the stock has moved up quickly, so upside in the next 0-3 months is possible but a pullback would present a cleaner opportunity.

Primary drivers

  • Bank raised its price target after better-than-expected results
  • Growing AI demand and improved pricing support factory orders
  • Strong cash position and repeated earnings beats boost credibility
  • A retreat toward the entry range would make the setup less stretched

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSM signals