Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from March 17, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$340.49 Published $404.44 Target $441.40 Window close $449.33 Peak
$332.77 – $343.73Entry zone — fair-value band
$340.49Published — price the day we called it
$404.44Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$449.33Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$441.40Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 38 days.

Peak price
$449.33
peak on June 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$441.40
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
38
Window
March 17, 2026 – June 15, 2026

The thesis — published March 17, 2026

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$404.44
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$332.77 – $343.73
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$340.49
published March 17, 2026
Confidence
85%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TSM is a key maker of advanced chips for AI. The stock pulled back into a calmer price area, and recent news linking Microsoft accelerators and rising GPU chip demand gives a clear reason for buyers to return. This pullback looks like a real chance to buy rather than just a short-lived bounce.

Primary drivers

  • Critical chip maker for AI accelerator supply chains
  • Customer product news keeps demand visible and current
  • Pullback offers a more careful entry instead of chasing
  • Solid execution and strong balance sheet limit downside

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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