Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from April 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$342.64 Published $400.16 Target $434.16 Window close $479.00 Peak
$336.76 – $344.73Entry zone — fair-value band
$342.64Published — price the day we called it
$400.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$479.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$434.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 18 days.

Peak price
$479.00
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+39.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$434.16
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
18
Window
April 6, 2026 – July 5, 2026

The thesis — published April 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$400.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$336.76 – $344.73
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$342.64
published April 6, 2026
Confidence
83%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Taiwan Semiconductor is seen as a relatively clean semiconductor pick for the next few months because strong AI demand matches steady operations, high manufacturing quality, and a robust balance sheet that can handle chip industry swings. Recent reports highlighted its leadership in building AI chips, and the stock sits near its normal trend rather than being overly extended. Geopolitical risks keep the conviction from being top-tier.

Primary drivers

  • Leading role in making advanced chips needed for AI growth
  • Strong factory quality and a healthy balance sheet add stability
  • Stock sits near its trend instead of being unusually high
  • Recent news reinforced pricing power and strategic importance

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSM signals