Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 49 MSFT stock forecasts from July 3, 2025 onward. Every prediction was issued before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. All 49 calls used the short term horizon of 0 to 3 months. The final evaluation window ended on October 22, 2026, so the full published record covered calls and outcomes across more than one calendar year.

Of the 49 completed predictions, 19 reached their targets. Another 30 received partial credit, and none of them missed outright. The average success score was 66.3%. The average peak gain was 14%. Since every call used the same short term horizon, there was no medium term or long term result to compare. Overall, the figures showed a mix of full target hits and calls that moved in the forecast direction without reaching the stated target.

The best call was published on July 24, 2026. It predicted 18% growth, reached that target in 6 days, and recorded a peak gain of 44.5%. Its success score was 100%. The worst call was published on November 3, 2025. It also predicted 18% growth, but the stock recorded a peak gain of 0.2% and did not reach the target. Its success score was 50%. The track record was positive overall, though most calls received partial credit rather than reaching their full targets.