Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 51 MSFT stock forecasts for Microsoft Corporation, with predictions starting on July 3, 2025. Every one used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known, and each one had closed and been scored by June 4, 2026. This track record covered only short term calls, so there was no medium term or long term record to compare.

Overall, 6 forecasts reached their targets. No misses were recorded. The other 45 were partial outcomes, where the stock rose but did not reach the full target. The average success score was 53.9%. The average peak gain was 7.1%. Because all 51 forecasts used the short term horizon, the short term average score was also 53.9%.

The best call was published on March 6, 2026. It predicted 13% growth, and the stock rose 13.6%. It reached the target in 87 days and received a 100% score. The weakest call was published on November 3, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, but the stock rose only 0.2% and did not reach the target. It received a 50% score. The record was positive, but most calls did not reach their full target.