Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) stock forecast — our track record
41 completed MSFT stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our MSFT forecasts have done
Lyra published 41 MSFT stock forecasts beginning July 3, 2025. Every prediction was released before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its forecast window ended. All 41 calls used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. The final forecast window ended September 3, 2026.
The targets were reached in 11 forecasts. Another 30 received partial credit, and none of them missed. The average success score across the completed calls was 59.8%. Since every call covered the same short-term horizon, there was no medium-term or long-term result to compare with it. The short-term calls also had an average score of 59.8%.
The best call was published May 15, 2026. It predicted 16% growth, and the stock rose as much as 24.1% during the forecast window. The target was reached in 80 days, and the call received a 100% score. The worst call was published November 3, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, but the stock rose only 0.2% during the window. It did not reach its target and received a 50% score. Overall, the track record contained several full target hits, but most calls received partial credit.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed MSFT signals
At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
See what we’re calling today.
Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way MSFT was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.