Track record · closed signal

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — closed signal from July 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 1, 2026 — +31.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

MSFT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$390.49 Published $460.78 Target $512.80 Window close $522.85 Peak
$372.00 – $392.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$390.49Published — price the day we called it
$460.78Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$522.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$512.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

At window close
+31.3%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+33.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$512.80
last close inside the window, ended October 1, 2026
Peak price
$522.85
peak on October 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
28

The thesis — published July 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$460.78
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$372.00 – $392.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$390.49
published July 3, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Microsoft is a leader in software and cloud services, and demand for AI data-center capacity is still increasing. Recent reports that big cloud customers are expanding infrastructure back the case for Azure and enterprise AI spending. Strong profit margins and a healthy balance sheet help the company weather market weakness. Near term, momentum is high, so a calmer pullback is a more favorable short-term setup.

Primary drivers

  • Big cloud customers expanding data centers boosts Azure demand
  • Enterprise software gives steady, repeatable cash flow
  • Ongoing AI infrastructure spending supports longer-term growth
  • High profitability helps the company hold up in down markets

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All MSFT signals