Track record

Applovin Corp (APP) stock forecast — our track record

40 completed APP stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

40
scored APP calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
-13.5%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
17 of 40
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+21.9%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Aug ’25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
17 Target reached
4 Near target
19 Partial
0 Missed

How our APP forecasts have done

Lyra published 40 APP stock forecasts from August 18, 2025 onward. Every prediction covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and the final scoring window ended on September 6, 2026. Each forecast was published before its outcome was known. All 40 calls are now closed and scored, so the track record includes no forecasts that are still waiting for a result.

Overall, 21 predictions reached their targets and 19 received partial credit. None of them missed under the scoring method. The average success score was 73.8%. Since all 40 forecasts used the same short-term horizon, there was no medium-term or long-term result to compare. The short-term calls also had an average score of 73.8%.

The best call was published on August 21, 2025. It predicted 30% growth over the short term. The stock rose as much as 78.2% and reached the target in 18 days, earning a 100% score. The worst call was published on December 26, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, while the stock rose as much as 1% during the scoring window. It did not reach the target and received a 50% score. Taken as a whole, more than half of the 40 forecasts reached their targets, while the remaining 19 earned partial credit and none were scored as misses.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed APP signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
September 6, 2026
September 3, 2026
August 24, 2026
August 13, 2026
August 10, 2026
August 3, 2026
July 30, 2026
June 21, 2026
June 16, 2026
June 15, 2026
June 11, 2026
June 3, 2026
May 11, 2026
April 26, 2026
March 26, 2026
March 24, 2026
March 23, 2026
March 19, 2026
March 18, 2026
March 17, 2026
March 15, 2026
March 1, 2026
February 8, 2026
February 4, 2026
February 1, 2026
January 29, 2026
January 25, 2026
January 22, 2026
January 13, 2026
January 1, 2026
December 25, 2025
December 15, 2025
December 11, 2025
December 9, 2025
December 1, 2025
November 30, 2025
November 25, 2025
November 23, 2025
November 19, 2025
November 16, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way APP was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.