Track record

Applovin Corp (APP) stock forecast — our track record

44 completed APP stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

44
scored APP calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
-16.6%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
17 of 44
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+16.1%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Aug ’25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
17 Target reached
4 Near target
23 Partial
0 Missed

How our APP forecasts have done

Lyra published 44 APP stock forecasts starting on August 18, 2025. Each prediction was released before its outcome was known. Every call used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). All 44 forecasts are now closed and scored, with their outcome windows ending by October 4, 2026. This gives the record a consistent horizon for comparison across the full publication period.

Of the 44 forecasts, 21 reached their target and 23 produced partial results. None was classified as a miss. The average success score was 71.6%, while the average peak gain was 23.4%. Because every forecast covered the same short term horizon, the short term average score was also 71.6%. The results therefore included many successful target calls, alongside slightly more calls that made some progress but did not reach the full forecast target.

The best call was published on August 21, 2025. It predicted 30% growth. APP later rose as much as 78.2%, reached the target in 18 days, and received a 100% success score. The worst call was published on December 26, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, but the stock rose only 1% at its peak during the scoring window. The target was not reached, and the call received a 50% score. Overall, the track record had no outright misses, but more partial results than forecasts that reached their targets.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed APP signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
October 4, 2026
September 28, 2026
September 27, 2026
September 15, 2026
September 6, 2026
September 3, 2026
August 24, 2026
August 13, 2026
August 10, 2026
August 3, 2026
July 30, 2026
June 21, 2026
June 16, 2026
June 15, 2026
June 11, 2026
June 3, 2026
May 11, 2026
April 26, 2026
March 26, 2026
March 24, 2026
March 23, 2026
March 19, 2026
March 18, 2026
March 17, 2026
March 15, 2026
March 1, 2026
February 8, 2026
February 4, 2026
February 1, 2026
January 29, 2026
January 25, 2026
January 22, 2026
January 13, 2026
January 1, 2026
December 25, 2025
December 15, 2025
December 11, 2025
December 9, 2025
December 1, 2025
November 30, 2025
November 25, 2025
November 23, 2025
November 19, 2025
November 16, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way APP was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.