Track record · closed signal

Applovin Corp (APP) — closed signal from June 29, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 27, 2026 — -38.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

APP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$504.00 Published $614.88 Target $310.75 Window close $576.46 Peak
$470.00 – $505.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$504.00Published — price the day we called it
$614.88Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$576.46Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$310.75Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 65% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-38.3%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+14.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$310.75
last close inside the window, ended September 27, 2026
Peak price
$576.46
peak on July 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$614.88
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$470.00 – $505.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$504.00
published June 29, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AppLovin stands out for fast growth and strong profits from its advertising software. Recent broker notes add hopeful signs for future gains, but the stock has moved around a lot and its upward trend is not fully steady. If overall investor willingness to take risks firms up, upside becomes more likely; for now a measured stance is preferred over chasing momentum.

Primary drivers

  • Growth from AI-powered mobile ad platform driving revenue gains
  • Supportive analyst actions give near-term visibility for moves
  • Strong profit margins make growth more durable over time
  • Consistent earnings show the business can meet expectations repeatedly

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All APP signals