Track record

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) stock forecast — our track record

24 completed AMZN stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

24
scored AMZN calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
+3.3%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
6 of 24
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+14.1%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Aug ’25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
6 Target reached
6 Near target
12 Partial
0 Missed

How our AMZN forecasts have done

Lyra published 24 AMZN stock forecasts starting on August 13, 2025. Each prediction covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and each was published before its outcome was known. All calls are now closed and scored, with the last forecast window ending on October 20, 2026. This track record therefore covered more than a year of completed calls, all assessed on the same horizon.

The predictions produced mixed but positive results. Targets were reached in 12 forecasts, while another 12 received partial credit. None of them missed completely. The average success score was 68.8%. Because every call used the short-term horizon, there was no medium-term or long-term result to compare. The average peak gain across the forecasts was 13.9%.

The best call was published on March 23, 2026. It predicted 16% growth, and the stock rose as much as 31.9%. The target was reached in 22 days, and the call received a 100% score. The weakest call was published on October 31, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, but the stock rose only 4.4% during the forecast window. It did not reach the target and received a 50% score. Overall, half of the calls reached their targets, the rest earned partial credit, and none were complete misses.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed AMZN signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
October 20, 2026
October 18, 2026
September 27, 2026
September 24, 2026
September 22, 2026
September 17, 2026
August 25, 2026
August 23, 2026
August 20, 2026
August 18, 2026
June 21, 2026
April 30, 2026
April 5, 2026
March 23, 2026
March 2, 2026
January 29, 2026
January 22, 2026
January 21, 2026
January 19, 2026
December 28, 2025
December 15, 2025
December 3, 2025
November 12, 2025
November 11, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way AMZN was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.