XP Inc. (XP) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 11 XP stock forecasts beginning July 16, 2025. Each prediction was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its forecast window ended. All 11 calls used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). The final window ended August 6, 2026, so every call included here had a completed outcome rather than an open result.

Three forecasts reached their targets. None of them missed, while 8 received partial credit because the stock rose without fully reaching the predicted gain. The average success score was 63.6%. Since every call used the same short term horizon, its average was also 63.6%. The results therefore showed some positive movement across all 11 calls, but most predictions fell short of the full gains Lyra had forecast.

The best call was published on December 8, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, and the stock rose as much as 27.2%. The target was reached in 73 days, and the call received a 100% score. The weakest call was published on May 8, 2026. It predicted 14% growth, but the stock rose only 1.2% during the window. It received a 50% score and did not reach its target. Overall, the track record was mixed: three targets were reached, while 8 calls earned partial credit and no call was scored as a miss.