Track record

Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. (STOK) stock forecast — our track record

20 completed STOK stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

20
scored STOK calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
+12%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
9 of 20
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+30.1%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Sep ’25 Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb
9 Target reached
3 Near target
8 Partial
0 Missed

How our STOK forecasts have done

Lyra published 20 STOK stock forecasts beginning September 29, 2025. Every prediction used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). Each forecast was published before its outcome was known. All 20 calls are now closed and scored, with the final evaluation window ending May 7, 2026. This gives a consistent view of how the published short term calls performed over the period.

Overall, 12 forecasts reached their targets. Another 8 received partial credit, and none of them missed. The average success score was 76.3%. Because every call used the same horizon, the short term average was also 76.3%. The results included both forecasts that fully reached or exceeded their predicted growth and forecasts where the stock rose but stopped below the published target.

The best call was published October 1, 2025. It predicted 40% growth, and the stock rose as much as 64.9%. The target was reached in 13 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The worst call was published October 27, 2025. It predicted 35% growth, while the stock rose as much as 12.8%. It did not reach the target and received a 50% success score. The track record was positive overall: most targets were reached, no call was scored as a miss, and the weaker calls received partial credit rather than full success.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed STOK signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
May 7, 2026
May 6, 2026
April 28, 2026
April 27, 2026
April 22, 2026
March 16, 2026
March 15, 2026
March 10, 2026
March 8, 2026
February 18, 2026
February 17, 2026
February 16, 2026
January 28, 2026
January 25, 2026
January 21, 2026
January 1, 2026
December 31, 2025
December 30, 2025
December 29, 2025
December 28, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Lyra

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way STOK was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.