ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML) stock forecast — our track record
11 completed ASML stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our ASML forecasts have done
Lyra published 11 ASML stock forecasts beginning July 25, 2025. Every prediction used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). Each forecast was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. The final window ended October 13, 2026, so the full track record covered completed calls rather than open positions or results that were still developing.
All 11 targets were recorded as reached, with no misses. The average success score was 95.5%. The average peak gain was 34.3%. Because all 11 forecasts used the same short term horizon, there was no comparison to make with medium term (3 to 12 months) or long term (12 to 24 months) calls. The short term forecasts also had an average score of 95.5%.
The best call was published September 3, 2025. It predicted 22% growth, and the stock gained as much as 51.6%. The target was reached in 15 days, and the call received a 100% score. The weakest call was published July 15, 2026. It predicted 7% growth, while the stock gained as much as 6.3%. It received a 75% score. Overall, the record was strong: every completed forecast was classified as reaching its target, and the average score was 95.5%.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed ASML signals
| Closed | Timeframe | Predicted | At close | Peak result | Outcome | Days to target | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 13, 2026 | |||||||
| July 23, 2026 | |||||||
| May 12, 2026 | |||||||
| April 2, 2026 | |||||||
| February 11, 2026 | |||||||
| January 7, 2026 | |||||||
| December 17, 2025 | |||||||
| December 2, 2025 | |||||||
| December 1, 2025 | |||||||
| October 28, 2025 | |||||||
| October 23, 2025 |
At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
See what we’re calling today.
Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way ASML was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.