Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock forecast — our track record
14 completed TSLA stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our TSLA forecasts have done
Lyra published 14 TSLA stock forecasts for Tesla, Inc. starting on July 16, 2025. Every prediction used the short term horizon of 0 to 3 months. Each one was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its forecast window ended. The final window ended on May 26, 2026.
Five forecasts reached their targets. Nine received partial credit, and none of them missed. The average success score across all 14 calls was 66.1%. Since every call used the same short term horizon, its average was also 66.1%. The average peak gain was 18.4%, though individual results varied considerably across the record.
The best call was published on July 28, 2025. It predicted 22% growth, and the stock rose as much as 48.9% during the short term window. The target was reached after 46 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The worst call was published on January 16, 2026. It predicted 18% growth, while the stock rose as much as 1.6%. The target was not reached, and the call received a 50% success score. Overall, the track record was mixed: five targets were reached, while nine forecasts earned partial credit and there were no misses.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed TSLA signals
| Closed | Timeframe | Predicted | At close | Peak result | Outcome | Days to target | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | |||||||
| May 12, 2026 | |||||||
| May 11, 2026 | |||||||
| April 16, 2026 | |||||||
| March 18, 2026 | |||||||
| February 18, 2026 | |||||||
| February 1, 2026 | |||||||
| January 29, 2026 | |||||||
| January 26, 2026 | |||||||
| January 25, 2026 | |||||||
| November 9, 2025 | |||||||
| October 26, 2025 | |||||||
| October 16, 2025 | |||||||
| October 14, 2025 |
At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
See what we’re calling today.
Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way TSLA was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.