Tesla Inc. (TSLA) — closed signal from July 28, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 26, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 46 days.
The thesis — published July 28, 2025
Tesla shares have moved higher after weeks of steady buying and a top momentum rating, showing that buyers now have the upper hand. Fresh news on 28 Jul that Samsung will supply $16.5 billion worth of advanced chips to Tesla strengthens its control over key parts, while a $300 million Lucid-Uber car order and a Saudi permit for robotaxis add excitement. The stock also just moved back above its recent average price, another reassuring sign. With more news expected at the Q3 investor day, the price could climb 22% to about $385 in the next three months.
Primary drivers
- Samsung will supply chips until 2033, likely cutting costs and lifting profits
- Strong buying signals suggest large investors are returning to the stock
- A $300 million Lucid-Uber order shows clear demand and widens the brand’s appeal
- Upcoming Q3 event may announce self-driving deals and cash rewards, boosting mood
How it played out
TSLA: target reached in 46 days
Lyra published TSLA at 316.06 on 2025-07-28. The thesis expected 22% growth to 385.59 over the short-term window. It pointed to steady buying, a top momentum rating, Samsung's $16.5 billion chip supply deal, a $300 million Lucid-Uber car order, a Saudi robotaxi permit, and expected Q3 event news.
Inside the window, TSLA reached the target in 46 days. The peak was 470.75 on 2025-10-02, with a 48.9% peak gain. It ended the window at 433.72, still above the target. The published thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On October 2, 2025, Tesla reported Q3 deliveries of 497,099 vehicles, according to Business Insider. On October 22, 2025, The Guardian reported that Tesla's Q3 net profit fell to $1.4 billion from $2.2 billion, while revenue was $26.457 billion.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.