JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 10 JPM stock forecasts for JPMorgan Chase & Co, starting on August 14, 2025. Every prediction used the short term horizon of 0 to 3 months. Each forecast was published before its outcome was known. All 10 were later closed and scored, with the final evaluation window ending on October 18, 2026. This track record therefore covered only one forecast horizon.

Overall, 8 of the 10 forecasts reached their targets. None of them missed, while 2 received partial credit. The average success score was 80%. The average peak gain was 11.4%. Because every forecast used the same short term horizon, there was no medium term or long term result to compare with it. The short term forecasts also had an average score of 80%.

The best call was published on May 19, 2026. It predicted 11% growth over the short term. JPM rose as much as 23.1% during the evaluation window and reached the target in 29 days, earning a 100% score. The worst call was published on January 19, 2026. It predicted 10% growth, but the stock rose only 4.4% at its peak and did not reach the target. That call received a 50% score. Overall, most targets were reached, no forecast was scored as a miss, and the two weakest outcomes still received partial credit.