JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) — closed signal from August 14, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 12, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 90 days.
The thesis — published August 14, 2025
JPMorgan's price has fallen hard lately, which often snaps back. At the same time, the business looks healthy: investment banking fees rose 36% in 2024, showing strength and leadership. Investor mood is still positive, and short-term pricing looks steadier, so a bounce over the next 1-3 months is reasonable. Big-picture economy and rule changes are risks, so buy in small steps and take profits on strength.
Primary drivers
- Price fell more than usual recently, which often leads to a short-term rebound
- Investment-banking fees rose 36% in 2024, showing stronger deal activity
- Strong industry position draws steady interest and buying from investors
- Short-term price action looks steadier as markets lean more optimistic
How it played out
JPM: target reached in 90 days
Lyra published JPM on 2025-08-14 at $288.35, with 11% expected growth and a $317.09 target. The thesis pointed to a recent price fall that could rebound, investment-banking fees rising 36% in 2024, JPMorgan's strong industry position, and steadier short-term price action.
Inside the 2025-08-14 to 2025-11-12 window, JPM reached the target. The stock peaked at $320.80 on 2025-11-12, with an 11.3% gain, and the target was reached in 90 days. It ended at $318.97. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On 2025-10-14, JPMorgan Chase reported third-quarter profit of $14.39 billion and earnings per share of $5.07. Revenue was $46.43 billion. The report was dated inside the measurement window, but it was not treated here as the cause of the stock move.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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