Track record · closed signal

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — closed signal from May 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 17, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

JPM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$297.61 Published $328.87 Target $360.96 Window close $366.50 Peak
$287.40 – $297.32Entry zone — fair-value band
$297.61Published — price the day we called it
$328.87Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$366.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$360.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 29 days.

Peak price
$366.50
peak on August 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+23.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$360.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
29
Window
May 19, 2026 – August 17, 2026

The thesis — published May 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$328.87
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$287.40 – $297.32
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$297.61
published May 19, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

JPM is a large, well-rounded bank with many ways to make money and a stronger capital position than many peers. Reports about using AI in asset management hint at future cost savings, but this is a long-term theme, not an immediate boost. The stock looks oversold, so a modest rebound is possible, but weak sector sentiment and credit risk limit short-term upside.

Primary drivers

  • Big, diversified bank that smooths earnings ups and downs
  • Trading and payments businesses add steady revenue streams
  • Using AI in asset management could lower costs and help profits
  • Recent weakness may enable a short-term bounce if sentiment improves

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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