Track record · closed signal

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — closed signal from May 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 17, 2026 — +21.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

JPM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$287.40 – $297.32Entry zone — fair-value band

$297.61Published — price the day we called it

$328.87Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$366.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$360.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 29 days.

At window close

+21.3%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+23.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$360.96

last close inside the window, ended August 17, 2026

Peak price

$366.50

peak on August 13, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published May 19, 2026

Predicted growth

+11%

over the measurement window

Target price

$328.87

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$287.40 – $297.32

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$297.61

published May 19, 2026

Confidence

72%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

JPM is a large, well-rounded bank with many ways to make money and a stronger capital position than many peers. Reports about using AI in asset management hint at future cost savings, but this is a long-term theme, not an immediate boost. The stock looks oversold, so a modest rebound is possible, but weak sector sentiment and credit risk limit short-term upside.

Primary drivers

Big, diversified bank that smooths earnings ups and downs
Trading and payments businesses add steady revenue streams
Using AI in asset management could lower costs and help profits
Recent weakness may enable a short-term bounce if sentiment improves

How it played out

JPM: target reached in 29 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis for an 11% rise from $297.61. The thesis pointed to JPMorgan's diversified banking model, revenue from trading and payments, possible cost savings from artificial intelligence in asset management, and a possible rebound after recent weakness. It also noted weak sector sentiment and credit risk.

The stock reached the $328.87 target in 29 days. It later peaked at $366.50 on August 13, a 23.1% gain, and ended the window at $360.96. The price cleared the target and stayed above it at the end. The thesis played out and exceeded its expected growth.

What happened during the window

On June 24, 2026, JPMorganChase announced plans to raise its quarterly common dividend to $1.65 and authorized a $50 billion share repurchase program. On July 14, 2026, the company reported second-quarter net income of $21.2 billion and revenue of $57.3 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All JPM signals