Track record · closed signal

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — closed signal from March 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 21, 2026 — +11.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

JPM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$288.00 – $293.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$291.92Published — price the day we called it

$329.87Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$338.09Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$325.22Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 85 days.

At window close

+11.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+15.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+14.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$325.22

last close inside the window, ended June 21, 2026

Peak price

$338.09

peak on June 18, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published March 23, 2026

Predicted growth

+13%

over the measurement window

Target price

$329.87

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$288.00 – $293.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$291.92

published March 23, 2026

Confidence

76%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

JPMorgan is a steady choice for the next 0-3 months because it does not need a strong market rally to do well. New talk about easing capital rules is a clear positive for big banks. JPM's size, profitability, and strong business mix help it hold up when markets are uneven, offering a balanced chance to gain while limiting big downside moves.

Primary drivers

Talk of easier capital rules helps large-bank sentiment
Wide business mix softens swings in the economy
Strong profits and cash make the stock less vulnerable
Shares are settling near support, not extended highs

How it played out

JPM: target reached in 85 days

Lyra published JPM at $291.92 with a 13% expected gain over the short term. The thesis pointed to talk of easier capital rules, a wide business mix, strong profits and cash, and shares settling near support. It expected those traits to help the stock hold up in uneven markets.

Inside the window, JPM rose to $338.09 on June 18, a peak gain of 15.8%. It reached the $329.87 target in 85 days, then ended the window at $325.22. The target was reached and the peak exceeded it. The published thesis played out according to the measured price result.

What happened during the window

On April 14, JPMorganChase reported first-quarter net income of $16.5 billion, or $5.94 per share. On May 27, it announced the redemption of its Series KK preferred stock on June 1.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All JPM signals