Philip Morris International Inc (PM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 11 PM stock forecasts beginning July 7, 2025. These predictions all used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). Each forecast was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. The full track record ran through July 27, 2026.

Four forecasts reached their targets, while 7 earned partial credit and none of them missed. The average success score was 68.2%. Since every forecast used the same horizon, the short term average was also 68.2%. The average peak gain was 9.4%. The results were mixed: several calls captured some upward movement without reaching the published target, while 4 reached or exceeded their targets.

The best call was published on April 21, 2026. It predicted 12% growth, and the stock rose as much as 25.1%. The target was reached in 20 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The weakest call was published on July 16, 2025. It also predicted 12% growth, but the stock rose only 0.3% during the evaluation window. The target was not reached, and the call received a 50% success score. Overall, the record had no outright misses, but most forecasts received only partial credit.