Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 12 PM stock forecasts from July 7, 2025 onward. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, then closed and scored after its forecast window ended. All 12 calls used the short term horizon of 0 to 3 months. The last forecast window ended on September 21, 2026, so the full published track record was complete by that date.

Five forecasts reached their targets. Seven recorded partial success, and none of them missed. The average success score across all 12 calls was 70.8%. Because every call used the same short term horizon, there was no comparison to make across different forecast lengths. The results were split between calls that fully reached their targets and calls that captured some positive movement but fell short of the predicted gain.

The best call was published on April 21, 2026. It predicted 12% growth over the short term. PM rose as much as 25.1% during the forecast window and reached the target in 20 days, earning a 100% score. The weakest call was published on July 16, 2025. It also predicted 12% growth, but the stock rose only 0.3% during the window and did not reach the target. That call received a 50% score. Overall, the record was positive but mixed: five targets were reached, while seven calls achieved only partial success.