Track record

Meta Platforms Inc. (META) stock forecast — our track record

54 completed META stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

54
scored META calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
-5.8%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
12 of 54
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+11%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Aug ’25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
12 Target reached
8 Near target
34 Partial
0 Missed

How our META forecasts have done

Lyra published 54 META stock forecasts from August 12, 2025 onward. Every prediction covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and each one was published before its outcome was known. All 54 forecasts were later closed and scored. Their evaluation windows had ended by October 8, 2026, so the results describe completed calls rather than open positions or projections.

The target was reached in 20 forecasts. No forecasts were scored as misses, while 34 received partial credit. Across all completed calls, the average success score was 64.8%. The average peak gain was 12.4%. Because every call used the same short-term horizon, the short-term average score was also 64.8%. The results were therefore mixed: many calls captured some upward movement, but fewer reached the full predicted target.

The best call was published on June 26, 2026. It predicted 21% growth. META rose as much as 40.5%, reached the target in 14 days, and received a 100% score. The worst call was published on September 24, 2025. It predicted 16% growth, but the stock rose only 0.6% at its peak during the evaluation window. The target was not reached, and the call received a 50% score. Overall, the track record had no outright misses, but 34 of the 54 forecasts stopped short of full target credit.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed META signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
October 8, 2026
October 5, 2026
October 4, 2026
September 29, 2026
September 27, 2026
September 24, 2026
September 21, 2026
September 20, 2026
September 17, 2026
September 14, 2026
September 13, 2026
September 7, 2026
September 6, 2026
September 2, 2026
September 1, 2026
August 31, 2026
August 26, 2026
August 23, 2026
August 20, 2026
August 19, 2026
August 17, 2026
August 16, 2026
August 12, 2026
August 11, 2026
August 5, 2026
July 15, 2026
July 14, 2026
July 9, 2026
July 8, 2026
July 7, 2026
June 10, 2026
June 9, 2026
June 2, 2026
June 1, 2026
May 26, 2026
May 21, 2026
April 29, 2026
April 22, 2026
April 19, 2026
March 22, 2026
March 18, 2026
February 18, 2026
January 18, 2026
January 13, 2026
January 5, 2026
December 23, 2025
December 17, 2025
December 15, 2025
December 10, 2025
December 7, 2025
December 3, 2025
November 23, 2025
November 17, 2025
November 10, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way META was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.