Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 9 TD stock forecasts beginning January 7, 2026. These predictions all used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. Every forecast was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. The final scoring window ended July 2, 2026, so the full track record covered calls published across several months rather than a single release date.

Overall, 8 of the 9 predictions reached their stated targets. None of them missed, while 1 received partial credit. The average success score was 94.4%. The short-term forecasts also had an average score of 94.4%, since every published call used that horizon. The results were therefore consistent across the only timeframe represented, although the January call showed that a positive move did not always reach the forecast target.

The best call was published on April 2, 2026. It predicted 8% growth, and the stock rose as much as 30.5%. The target was reached in 11 days, and the call received a 100% score. The weakest call was published on January 7, 2026. It predicted 10% growth, while the stock rose as much as 5.4%. That call received a 50% score and partial credit because the target was not reached. Taken as a whole, the record was strong: most calls reached their targets, there were no misses, and one call finished with partial credit.