The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) — closed signal from March 9, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 7, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 35 days.
The thesis — published March 9, 2026
TD is a steadier, lower-volatility pick because it just reported its best quarter and analysts raised their target, while also returning cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. Those features give the stock more downside protection than many fast-growth names, but they also mean gains tend to be smaller and you may need patience.
Primary drivers
- Best-quarter results show core business strength
- Analyst target lift improves overall sentiment
- Dividends and buybacks cushion downside risk
- Big retail bank mix means steadier performance
How it played out
TD: target reached in 35 days
Lyra published TD on 2026-03-09 at $94.17 for a short-term window ending 2026-06-07. The thesis expected 8% growth and pointed to best-quarter results, a raised analyst target, dividends and buybacks, and a steadier retail bank mix.
The stock reached the $101.70 target in 35 days. Inside the window, it peaked at $114.55 on 2026-06-04, a 21.6% gain. It ended at $113.16. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the published target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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