The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) — closed signal from March 2, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 31, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 81 days.
The thesis — published March 2, 2026
TD had a strong quarterly report that pushed the stock to a new one-year high. A big bank raised its price target after the earnings beat, which helps keep professional investors interested. The plan is to prefer buying on modest drops instead of chasing the price at the top, since a short pullback is possible after a rapid rise.
Primary drivers
- Better-than-expected quarterly results help short-term momentum
- Analyst price-target lift keeps investor attention on the stock
- Big, actively traded bank stock tends to draw headline-driven flows
- After a fast rise, buying modest dips is a safer entry approach
How it played out
TD: target reached in 81 days
Lyra published TD at 98.18 on 2026-03-02 with a short-term thesis for 14% growth. The thesis pointed to better-than-expected quarterly results, an analyst price-target lift, headline-driven flows in a large bank stock, and a preference for buying modest dips after a fast rise.
Inside the window, TD reached a peak of 114.26 on 2026-05-29, above the 111.93 target. The target was reached in 81 days. The peak gain was 16.4%. The stock ended the window at 113.58. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On 2026-05-28, TD reported second-quarter results and said it raised its dividend. The report said adjusted earnings were C$2.38 per share and adjusted revenue rose 5.9%.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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