Track record · closed signal

Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) — closed signal from April 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$95.22 Published $99.98 Target $119.30 Window close $122.65 Peak
$93.00 – $96.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$95.22Published — price the day we called it
$99.98Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$122.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$119.30Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 6 days.

Peak price
$122.65
peak on July 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+28.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$119.30
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
6
Window
April 3, 2026 – July 2, 2026

The thesis — published April 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+5%
over the measurement window
Target price
$99.98
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$93.00 – $96.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$95.22
published April 3, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TD looks steady but likely to trade in a narrow range over the next 0-3 months rather than run higher quickly. New initiatives around AI and the Easy Trade app should help the bank operate more efficiently and attract clients, but trading activity is light and upside appears limited. The share price sitting near the recent trend helps limit downside more than it suggests a near-term rerating.

Primary drivers

  • AI projects should make operations cheaper and faster
  • Easy Trade app can bring new customers and activity
  • Relatively low valuation helps reduce potential losses
  • Light trading volume means less near-term momentum

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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