Shopify Inc (SHOP) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 22 SHOP stock forecasts from September 4, 2025 onward. Each prediction was published before its outcome was known. Every call used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months), and all were closed and scored through windows ending July 30, 2026. This track record therefore covers completed calls rather than open forecasts whose results could still change.

Six forecasts reached their targets, while none were scored as misses. The other 16 produced partial results. Across all 22 completed calls, the average success score was 59.1%. Because every forecast used the same short term horizon, there was no medium term or long term record to compare. The short term calls also had an average success score of 59.1%.

The best call was published on September 4, 2025. It predicted 26% growth, and the stock rose 28.6% at its peak during the scoring window. The target was reached after 54 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The weakest call was published on October 31, 2025. It predicted 24% growth, while the stock rose 1.5% at its peak and did not reach the target. That call received a 50% success score. Overall, the record was mixed: six targets were reached, no calls were outright misses, and 16 finished with partial results.