Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 26 BABA stock forecasts starting on July 14, 2025. Every prediction covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and each one was published before its outcome was known. All 26 forecasts have since completed their evaluation windows and received a final score. The last evaluation window ended on May 11, 2026. This gives the public record a defined start, a consistent forecast horizon, and closed outcomes for every call included here.

Of the 26 completed predictions, 12 reached their stated growth targets. The other 14 received partial credit, and none of them missed outright. The average success score was 73.1%. Because every call used the same short-term horizon, the short-term average was also 73.1%. The results were mixed, with target-reaching calls accounting for part of the record and positive but incomplete outcomes accounting for the rest.

The best call was published on July 14, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, and the stock rose as much as 78.2% during the evaluation window. The target was reached in 30 days, and the call earned a 100% score. The worst call was published on October 27, 2025. It predicted 20% growth, while the stock rose as much as 2.1%. It did not reach the target and received a 50% score. Overall, the track record had 12 full target hits, no outright misses, and an average score of 73.1%.