Track record

Netflix Inc (NFLX) stock forecast — our track record

24 completed NFLX stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

24
scored NFLX calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
-11.2%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
6 of 24
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+4.4%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Sep ’25 Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
6 Target reached
1 Near target
17 Partial
0 Missed

How our NFLX forecasts have done

Lyra published 24 NFLX stock forecasts for Netflix Inc, beginning on September 2, 2025. These predictions all used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. Every forecast was made public before its outcome was known, and every outcome was later closed and scored. The final scoring window ended on October 1, 2026. All 24 calls therefore followed the same horizon from publication through evaluation.

Seven forecasts reached their targets. Another 17 received partial credit, while none of them missed. The average success score across the 24 completed calls was 63.5%. The average peak gain was 10%. For the short-term horizon, the average score was 63.5%. The scoring record therefore included target hits and partial outcomes, with no calls in the missed category.

The best call was published on February 5, 2026. It predicted 16% growth. NFLX later posted a peak gain of 32.3% and reached the target in 22 days, earning a 100% score. The worst call was published on May 19, 2026. It predicted 13% growth, but the stock's peak gain was 0.8%. It did not reach the target and received a 50% score. Overall, the track record had 7 target hits, 17 partial results, and no outright misses across 24 completed short-term calls.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed NFLX signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
October 1, 2026
August 30, 2026
August 27, 2026
August 17, 2026
August 6, 2026
August 2, 2026
July 29, 2026
July 19, 2026
June 24, 2026
May 11, 2026
May 6, 2026
April 23, 2026
April 20, 2026
April 19, 2026
April 15, 2026
April 7, 2026
March 12, 2026
February 16, 2026
February 8, 2026
January 29, 2026
January 5, 2026
December 3, 2025
December 2, 2025
December 1, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way NFLX was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.