Track record

Netflix Inc (NFLX) stock forecast — our track record

23 completed NFLX stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

23
scored NFLX calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
-9.8%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
6 of 23
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+4.3%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Sep ’25 Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
6 Target reached
1 Near target
16 Partial
0 Missed

How our NFLX forecasts have done

Lyra published 23 NFLX stock forecasts beginning September 2, 2025. Each prediction was released before its outcome was known, so readers could see the call before the scoring window closed. Every forecast used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). The final scoring windows ended by August 30, 2026, and all 23 calls were closed and scored.

Seven forecasts reached their targets. None of them missed, while 16 received partial credit because the stock rose without fully reaching the predicted gain. The average success score across all completed calls was 64.1%. Since every call covered the same short term horizon, there was no medium or long term result to compare. The short term calls also had an average peak gain of 10.1% during their scoring windows.

The best call was published on February 5, 2026. It predicted 16% growth, and the stock rose as much as 32.3%. The target was reached in 22 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The worst call was published on May 19, 2026. It predicted 13% growth, but the stock rose only 0.8% and did not reach the target. That call received a 50% success score. Overall, the track record had seven full target hits, no outright misses, and many calls that captured some upside without reaching the forecast gain.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed NFLX signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
August 30, 2026
August 27, 2026
August 17, 2026
August 6, 2026
August 2, 2026
July 29, 2026
July 19, 2026
June 24, 2026
May 11, 2026
May 6, 2026
April 23, 2026
April 20, 2026
April 19, 2026
April 15, 2026
April 7, 2026
March 12, 2026
February 16, 2026
February 8, 2026
January 29, 2026
January 5, 2026
December 3, 2025
December 2, 2025
December 1, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way NFLX was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.