Track record · closed signal

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) — closed signal from September 4, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 3, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

NFLX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$124.15 Published $14.65 Target $103.96 Window close $126.71 Peak
$12.20 – $12.42Entry zone — fair-value band
$124.15Published — price the day we called it
$14.65Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$126.71Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$103.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 12% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$126.71
peak on September 5, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+2.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$103.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
September 4, 2025 – December 3, 2025

The thesis — published September 4, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.65
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.20 – $12.42
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$124.15
published September 4, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock's uptrend looks intact, and buying interest is stronger than usual this week, backed by a very high momentum score (94%). The ad-supported plan and the ability to raise prices are improving profits per subscriber. Fundamentals are not top tier, so keep position sizes modest. If new highs attract more buyers and the pipeline of fresh shows stays steady, the shares could rise gradually over the next three months.

Primary drivers

  • Uptrend with stronger buying than selling, and price rising steadily
  • Ad-supported plan and price increases are boosting revenue and profits
  • Independent momentum score is very high this week, at 94 percent
  • Investor mood is very positive, which can keep buying interest going

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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