Track record · closed signal

Netflix Inc (NFLX) — closed signal from March 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NFLX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$92.59 Published $104.63 Target $71.84 Window close $108.94 Peak
$90.00 – $94.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$92.59Published — price the day we called it
$104.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$108.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$71.84Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

Peak price
$108.94
peak on April 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$71.84
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
19
Window
March 26, 2026 – June 24, 2026

The thesis — published March 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$104.63
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$90.00 – $94.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$92.59
published March 26, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Netflix remains interesting because its business is still gaining momentum and a coming earnings report gives a clear near-term event that could move the stock. Shares have been stronger recently, but the stock must show it can hold its short-term trend in a market that is more selective about growth. The setup looks plausible but not fully confirmed yet.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings coming soon gives a clear near-term event
  • Shares have shown recent strength tied to business momentum
  • Holding the 20-day trend is key to the setup
  • Subscriber growth and better monetization support the growth story

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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