Track record

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) stock forecast — our track record

5 completed ARCO stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

5
scored ARCO calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
-6.5%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
0 of 5
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+3.9%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Aug ’25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
0 Target reached
0 Near target
5 Partial
0 Missed

How our ARCO forecasts have done

Lyra published 5 ARCO stock forecasts beginning on August 13, 2025. Each prediction was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. All 5 calls used the same horizon, short term (0 to 3 months). The final evaluation window ended on September 30, 2026, so every call in this track record had a completed result.

None of the 5 forecasts reached its target, but no call was scored as a miss. Instead, all 5 received partial credit. The average success score was 50%. The stock's average peak gain after the forecasts was 4.7%, which meant the calls captured some upward movement without achieving the predicted gains. Because every forecast was short term, there was no performance comparison across different horizons.

The best call was published on June 10, 2026. It predicted 18% growth, while the stock rose as much as 8.4% during the evaluation window. That call received a 50% score and did not reach its target. The worst call was published on May 27, 2026. It predicted 13% growth, but the stock rose as much as 1.9%. It also received a 50% score and did not reach its target. Overall, every call earned partial credit, but none reached the forecast target.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed ARCO signals

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way ARCO was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.