Novavax Inc (NVAX) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 19 NVAX stock forecasts for Novavax Inc, starting on July 24, 2025. Each prediction was released before its outcome was known. All 19 are now closed and scored, with the final scoring window ending on August 4, 2026. Every forecast used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. This track record therefore covers one consistent forecast period from the first published call through the last completed outcome.

Of the 19 predictions, 8 reached their targets, 11 had partial outcomes, and none of them missed. The average success score was 68.4%. Because all 19 calls used the same horizon, the average score for short-term forecasts was also 68.4%. The results included a substantial group of target hits, while the remaining calls received partial credit rather than being scored as misses. The average peak gain across the forecasts was 23.9%.

The best call was published on April 28, 2026. It predicted 18% growth, and the stock rose as much as 44.4%. The target was reached after 8 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The worst call was published on March 11, 2026. It predicted 24% growth, while the stock rose as much as 6.7% and did not reach the target. That call received a 50% success score. Overall, the record combined 8 reached targets with 11 partial results and no misses.