Novavax Inc (NVAX) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 17 NVAX stock forecasts from July 24, 2025 through the window that ended on June 10, 2026. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known. All 17 used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon, with no medium term or long term calls included in the closed results.

Overall, 4 forecasts reached their targets, none of them missed, and 13 were partial results. The average success score was 58.8%. Because every closed forecast used the same short term horizon, the short term average was also 58.8%. The calls often caught some upside, with an average peak gain of 19.6%, but most did not reach the full target.

The best call was published on February 17, 2026. It predicted 15% growth, and the stock rose 37%. The target was reached in 9 days, and the score was 100%. The weakest call was published on March 11, 2026. It predicted 24% growth, while the stock rose 6.7%. It did not reach the target, and the score was 50%. The track record was positive but uneven: no closed call fully failed, while most stopped short of the target.