International Business Machines (IBM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 5 IBM stock forecasts starting on August 26, 2025. These predictions all covered the short term (0 to 3 months). Each forecast was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. The last window ended on September 21, 2026. This was a small record, with only 5 completed forecasts, so the results described here came from a limited number of calls.

All 5 predictions reached their targets, and none of them missed. There were no partial outcomes. The average success score was 100%. The average peak gain across the forecasts was 33.1%. Because every forecast used the same short-term horizon, there was no comparison with medium-term or long-term calls. The short-term forecasts had an average score of 100%. Every individual call also received a score of 100%, although the gains and the time needed to reach each target varied.

The best call was published on March 30, 2026. It predicted 14% growth, and the stock recorded a peak gain of 39.6%. The target was reached in 60 days, and the call received a 100% score. The worst call was published on June 23, 2026. It predicted 11% growth, while the stock recorded a peak gain of 18.8%. That target was reached in 8 days, and this call also received a 100% score. The track record was perfect on target attainment, but it remained small.