Track record · closed signal

International Business Machines (IBM) — closed signal from March 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IBM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$243.85 Published $277.99 Target $262.96 Window close $332.46 Peak
$238.00 – $246.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$243.85Published — price the day we called it
$277.99Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$332.46Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$262.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

Peak price
$332.46
peak on June 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+36.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$262.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
64
Window
March 26, 2026 – June 24, 2026

The thesis — published March 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$277.99
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$238.00 – $246.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$243.85
published March 26, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IBM looks like a steadier tech choice for the next few months because big companies keep spending on security, consulting, and mainframe services. A new security partnership and slower-than-expected legacy migrations make demand more reliable. The stock is repairing below its recent average price, so upside seems measured with smaller downside risk than many software names.

Primary drivers

  • Security partnership keeps IBM relevant to large companies
  • Mainframes and old systems keep steady, repeat demand
  • Consistent earnings beats suggest smoother execution
  • Repair below the recent average price gives a controlled setup

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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