Arm Holdings plc (ARM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 11 ARM stock forecasts beginning July 9, 2025. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, then closed and scored after its window ended. Every forecast used the same horizon, short term (0 to 3 months). The last closed window ended on January 12, 2026. This track record covers only those completed calls.

Overall, 5 forecasts reached their target, no misses were recorded, and 6 finished as partial results. The average success score was 72.7%. The average peak gain was 22.1%. Since all 11 calls were short term, the short-term average score was also 72.7%. The results were mixed but clearly positive on the scoring used here. Several calls reached their full target, while several others rose but did not reach the full predicted move.

The best call was published on August 22, 2025. It predicted 26% growth, and ARM rose as much as 35.4%. The target was reached in 48 days, and the call scored 100%. The weakest call was published on October 14, 2025. It predicted 30% growth, and ARM rose as much as 4.9%. It did not reach the target and scored 50%. Overall, Lyra's ARM calls had more full hits than partial results, no misses, and a 72.7% average score.