Track record

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock forecast — our track record

39 completed PDD stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.

39
scored PDD calls — every one whose window has closed, nothing deleted
-13.2%
median return at the window close, from the publication price
5 of 39
hit or exceeded the predicted growth
+7.4%
median peak inside the window — peak, not a realized return
Every call, month by monthOne cell per closed signal
Jul ’25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan ’26 Feb Mar Apr
5 Target reached
1 Near target
33 Partial
0 Missed

How our PDD forecasts have done

Lyra published 39 PDD stock forecasts from July 7, 2025. Every prediction covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and every one was published before its outcome was known. All 39 forecasts are now closed and scored. The final forecast window ended on July 14, 2026, so the results shown here contain no open calls or outcomes that are still developing.

Overall, 6 forecasts reached their targets and 33 received partial credit. None of them missed under Lyra's scoring method. The average success score was 57.1%, while the average peak gain was 9.7%. All calls used the same short-term horizon, which also had an average score of 57.1%. The results were therefore concentrated in partial outcomes, with relatively few forecasts reaching the full predicted rise.

The best call was published on July 7, 2025. It predicted 25% growth over the short term. PDD rose as much as 30.1%, reached the target in 49 days, and received a 100% success score. The worst call was published on November 11, 2025. It predicted 21% growth, but the stock rose as much as 0.7% during the scoring window. The target was not reached, and the call received a 50% success score. The track record was positive under the scoring method, but most calls stopped short of their targets.

Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.

Closed PDD signals

ClosedTimeframePredictedAt closePeak resultOutcomeDays to target
July 14, 2026
July 12, 2026
July 7, 2026
July 5, 2026
March 26, 2026
March 25, 2026
March 24, 2026
March 22, 2026
March 8, 2026
March 5, 2026
March 1, 2026
February 11, 2026
February 9, 2026
February 4, 2026
February 1, 2026
January 25, 2026
January 22, 2026
January 20, 2026
January 11, 2026
January 1, 2026
December 31, 2025
December 30, 2025
December 28, 2025
December 25, 2025
December 23, 2025
December 22, 2025
December 21, 2025
December 10, 2025
December 4, 2025
December 1, 2025
November 20, 2025
November 19, 2025
November 13, 2025
October 22, 2025
October 20, 2025
October 19, 2025
October 16, 2025
October 6, 2025
October 5, 2025

At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.

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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way PDD was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.