Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published five MTCH stock forecasts from July 22, 2025, onward. Every prediction used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). Each forecast was published before its outcome was known, and all five were later closed and scored. This track record therefore covers only one horizon, with the final scoring window ending on February 3, 2026.

None of the five forecasts reached its full target, but none of them missed entirely. All five received partial credit, and the average success score was 50%. The short term calls also had an average score of 50%. The average peak gain was 6.7%, compared with predicted growth ranging from 18% to 25%. The results were consistent in score, although the gains reached during each forecast window varied.

The best call was published on July 22, 2025. It predicted 25% growth over the short term, while the stock rose as much as 16% during the scoring window. That call received a 50% success score. The worst call was published on September 5, 2025. It predicted 20% growth, while the stock rose as much as 2.9%. It also received a 50% success score. Overall, the calls captured some upward movement, but none reached the predicted target.