Merck & Company Inc (MRK) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 35 MRK stock forecasts from July 1, 2025 through the last closed window on May 30, 2026. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, then closed and scored after its window ended. All 35 forecasts used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon.

Overall, 31 forecasts reached their target. Four were partial positives, and none of them missed. The average success score was 93.6%. The short-term forecasts had the same average score, 93.6%, because every closed forecast for MRK used that horizon. The average peak gain was 21.5%.

The best call was published on September 30, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, and MRK later rose 37.6%. The target was reached in 1 day, and the call scored 100%. The weakest call was published on March 1, 2026. It predicted 12% growth, but MRK rose 0.1% within the window and did not reach the target. That call scored 50%. This track record was strong overall, with most targets reached and no misses.