Merck & Company Inc (MRK) stock forecast — our track record
28 completed MRK stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our MRK forecasts have done
Lyra published 28 MRK stock forecasts from July 1, 2025 onward. Each prediction was released before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after the forecast window ended. Every call used the short term horizon of 0 to 3 months. The last forecast window ended on October 13, 2026, so the full track record covered completed outcomes rather than open calls.
Of the 28 predictions, 27 reached their targets. None missed, while one received partial credit. The average success score was 95.5%, and the average peak gain was 21.5%. Because every forecast used the same short term horizon, there was no medium or long term result to compare. The short term calls also averaged a 95.5% success score.
The best call was published on September 30, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, reached that target in 1 day, and recorded a peak gain of 37.6%. Its success score was 100%. The weakest call was published on July 1, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, while the stock's peak gain was 7.2%. That call received a 50% success score. Overall, the record was strong: nearly every call reached its target, no call was scored as a miss, and the weakest result still received partial credit.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed MRK signals
At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
See what we’re calling today.
Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way MRK was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.