Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd ADR (YMM) stock forecast — our track record
5 completed YMM stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our YMM forecasts have done
Lyra published 5 YMM stock forecasts beginning February 17, 2026. Each prediction covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and each was published before its outcome was known. All 5 forecasts were later closed and scored. The final assessment window ended August 26, 2026. This track record therefore covered calls issued from February through May, with the outcomes assessed over their stated horizons rather than against information available afterward.
None of the 5 calls reached its full target. None of them was classified as a miss either. All 5 received partial credit, and the average success score was 50%. The average peak gain was 6.7%. Because every call used the same short-term horizon, there was no comparison with medium-term or long-term results. The scores were also consistent across the calls, with the short-term average at 50%.
The best call was published on May 28, 2026. It predicted 22% growth, while the stock rose as much as 14.7% during the assessment period. The worst call was published on February 20, 2026. It predicted 18% growth, while the stock rose as much as 1.8%. Both calls received a 50% score because neither reached its full target but neither counted as a miss. Overall, the forecasts produced partial results across all 5 calls, with no full target reached and no outright miss.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed YMM signals
| Closed | Timeframe | Predicted | At close | Peak result | Outcome | Days to target | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 26, 2026 | |||||||
| August 24, 2026 | |||||||
| June 10, 2026 | |||||||
| May 21, 2026 | |||||||
| May 18, 2026 |
At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
See what we’re calling today.
Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way YMM was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.