Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 16 XOM stock forecasts beginning July 1, 2025. Every prediction covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and every one was published before its outcome was known. All 16 forecasts are now closed and scored, with the last forecast window ending October 5, 2026. This gives the public track record a consistent horizon across the full period, rather than mixing results from forecasts with different time spans.

Overall, 12 forecasts reached their targets, while none of them missed. The other 4 received partial credit. The average success score was 81.3%. Since all 16 calls used the same short-term horizon, there was no medium-term or long-term result to compare against it. The short-term forecasts also had an average score of 81.3%. The results therefore showed that most targets were reached, while the remaining calls still recorded some progress toward their stated targets.

The best call was published on January 8, 2026. It predicted 8% growth, and the stock rose as much as 47%. The target was reached in 6 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The worst call was published on August 29, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, but the stock rose only 5.3% during the forecast window. It did not reach the target and received a 50% success score. Taken as a whole, the record was strong: 12 of 16 targets were reached, there were no misses, and 4 calls earned partial credit.