Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 15 XOM stock forecasts starting on July 1, 2025. Every prediction was made public before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its forecast window ended. All 15 calls used the short-term horizon (0 to 3 months). The last scoring window ended on May 28, 2026, so each call in this track record had a completed outcome.

Overall, 11 forecasts reached their targets, while four received partial credit and none missed. The average success score was 80%. Because every call used the same short-term horizon, the short-term average was also 80%. The forecasts had an average peak gain of 17.8% during their scoring windows. Results varied across individual calls, but the overall record contained more reached targets than partial outcomes.

The best call was published on January 8, 2026. It predicted 8% growth, reached that target in 6 days, and the stock rose as much as 47% during the scoring window. That call received a 100% success score. The weakest call was published on August 29, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, while the stock rose as much as 5.3% and did not reach the target. It received a 50% success score. Overall, most forecasts reached their targets, four earned partial credit, and none were scored as misses.