The Progressive Corporation (PGR) stock forecast — our track record
6 completed PGR stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our PGR forecasts have done
Lyra published 6 PGR stock forecasts from July 3, 2025 through September 4, 2025. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, and all 6 were closed and scored. Every call used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. The last forecast window ended on December 3, 2025.
Overall, none of the 6 targets were reached. One call missed, while 5 were partial positives. The average success score was 41.7%. The short term calls also averaged 41.7%, since all published forecasts for PGR used that same horizon. The average peak gain was 2.6%.
The best call was published on July 30, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, and PGR rose as much as 5.6% before the window closed. The worst call was published on July 3, 2025. It predicted 10% growth, and the stock reached a peak gain of 0%. This track record was mixed, with partial gains on most calls but no target reached.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed PGR signals
| Closed | Timeframe | Predicted | Peak result | Outcome | Days to target | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 3, 2025 | ||||||
| October 28, 2025 | ||||||
| October 21, 2025 | ||||||
| October 15, 2025 | ||||||
| October 13, 2025 | ||||||
| October 1, 2025 |
Peak result is the highest point inside the signal’s measurement window — labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
See what we’re calling today.
Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way PGR was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.