ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 7 ARR stock forecasts beginning December 9, 2025. Each prediction was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation window ended. All 7 calls used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). The final evaluation window ended May 13, 2026, so every forecast in this track record had a completed result.

Overall, 5 forecasts reached their targets, 2 received partial credit, and none of them missed. The average success score was 85.7%. Since every call used the same short term horizon, the short term average was also 85.7%. The average peak gain across the completed calls was 12.5%. Most of the published targets were reached, while the remaining calls still recorded positive gains but fell short of their full targets.

The best call was published December 11, 2025. It predicted 11% growth, and the stock rose as much as 16.8%. The target was reached after 29 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The weakest call was published February 12, 2026. It predicted 9% growth, but the stock rose only 3.9% during the evaluation period. It did not reach the target and received a 50% success score. Overall, the record was strong: 5 targets were reached, there were no misses, and the average score was 85.7%.