ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 9 ARR stock forecasts starting on October 26, 2025. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, then closed and scored after its window ended. All 9 forecasts used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. The last window ended on May 13, 2026. This track record covers only those closed calls, with no medium term or long term forecasts included.

Overall, 7 forecasts reached their targets. None of them missed. The other 2 were partial results. The average success score was 88.9%. The short term average score was also 88.9%, because every ARR call used that horizon. The average peak gain was 14.1%. The record was strong, but it was not perfect. Two calls rose, yet did not reach the full target inside their window.

The best call was published on October 26, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, and the stock later rose 21.1%. The target was reached after 68 days, and the call received a 100% score. The weakest call was published on February 12, 2026. It predicted 9% growth, and the stock rose 3.9%. It did not reach the target and received a 50% score. Most ARR calls hit, and the misses column stayed empty.