American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 18 AAL stock forecasts for American Airlines Group Inc. starting on August 22, 2025. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, and all 18 are now closed and scored. Every forecast used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. The last closed window ended on May 5, 2026.

Overall, 8 forecasts reached their target. No misses were recorded. The other 10 forecasts were partial results, where the stock rose but did not reach the full target. The average success score was 72.2%. The short term average was also 72.2%, since all forecasts used that horizon. The average peak gain was 23.1%.

The best call was published on October 2, 2025. It predicted 22% growth, and the stock later rose 43.4%. The target was reached in 39 days, and the call scored 100%. The weakest call was published on September 3, 2025. It predicted 24% growth, and the stock later rose 2.3%. It did not reach the target, and the call scored 50%. The record was positive overall, with targets reached on 8 calls and no misses.