Alcoa Corporation (AA) stock forecast — our track record
6 completed AA stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our AA forecasts have done
Lyra published 6 AA stock forecasts, with the first on July 2, 2025. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, then closed and scored after its forecast window ended. Every call used the same horizon, short term (0 to 3 months), so the record was a focused short term track record rather than a mix of different timeframes.
Overall, 5 forecasts reached their target. There were no misses, and 1 call was partial. The average success score was 91.7%. The short term average score was also 91.7%, which matched the full record because all 6 calls used that horizon. The average peak gain was 54.7%. Most of them hit.
The best call was published on October 7, 2025. It predicted 20% growth, and the stock later rose 78%. It reached the target in 50 days and earned a 100% score. The weakest call was published on July 2, 2025. It predicted 18% growth, but the stock rose 13.8%, so it did not reach the target and earned a 50% score. The record was strong overall, with 5 targets reached, no misses, and one partial result.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed AA signals
| Closed | Timeframe | Predicted | Peak result | Outcome | Days to target | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 10, 2026 | ||||||
| February 8, 2026 | ||||||
| January 21, 2026 | ||||||
| January 5, 2026 | ||||||
| October 16, 2025 | ||||||
| September 30, 2025 |
Peak result is the highest point inside the signal’s measurement window — labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
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The full public record for this symbol — wins and misses. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way AA was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.