Morgan Stanley (MS) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 11 stock forecasts for MS starting on October 10, 2025. Every prediction used the short term horizon (0 to 3 months). Each forecast was published before its outcome was known, then closed and scored after its evaluation period ended. The last evaluation window ended on October 19, 2026, so all 11 calls had a final result.

Eight forecasts reached their targets. None missed outright, while three received partial credit. The average success score across all completed calls was 81.8%. Because every call covered the same short term horizon, the short term average was also 81.8%. The average peak gain was 13.2%, although individual results varied between the strongest and weakest calls described below.

The best call was published on October 10, 2025. It predicted 16% growth, and the stock rose as much as 20.4%. The target was reached in 62 days, and the call received a 100% success score. The weakest call was published on July 21, 2026. It predicted 9% growth, while the stock rose as much as 4.1%. The target was not reached, and the call received a 50% success score. Overall, the track record was positive: most forecasts reached their targets, no call was scored as a miss, and the weakest call still recorded a gain.